Before I get to my predictions for tomorrow’s Rule 5 draft, some brief housekeeping. I didn’t post anything about the imminent disappearance of Boof Bonser from the organization, although I strongly thought about a post titled “Boof Goes Poof” before my judgement kicked in (but apparently it didn’t stop me from telling you I had this thought — mock if you must). The reason for this relative disinterest in the topic is that I just can’t bring myself to care all that much about Bonser’s departure. After all, we’re talking a guy who put together a 5.93 ERA in 42 games and 118.1 innings in 2008 and missed all of 2009. With many, many pitchers ready to compete for a spot in the rotation going into next spring, and with Bonser being out of options, it only made sense to remove him from the roster to make room for someone else (in this case, Carl Pavano). Good luck in the future, Boof. And no, I don’t see the Twins being able to work out a trade for him.
Now, on to the Rule 5 Draft. First, I don’t expect the Twins to take anyone tomorrow, although stranger things have happened. Even if the team doesn’t expect to be able to stash the player on the roster next year (and there’s really no room for such a thing), they could draft a player with the intent of giving the guy a shot in Spring Training and/or working out a trade to keep the guy (as they did last year with Jason Jones). I simply don’t have the time to look through every Rule 5 eligible player throughout the league to try to determine who would be worth drafting, unfortunately, so that’s all I’m going to say about potential Twins selections.
As for Twins Rule 5 eligibles, here’s the breakdown as I see it:
As Good as Gone
I don’t see anyone who is a definite, although I came close to putting Ryan Mullins in this category.
Ryan Mullins – Good ERA/WHIP, Great K/BB and solid K/9 numbers, left-handed, plentiful AA innings
Brian Dinkelman – Interesting numbers in AA (.296/823), but no proof he can play at higher levels
Matthew Fox – Good ERA/WHIP, solid K numbers in AA, solid minor league history
Erik Lis – Being generous here — solid offensive numbers and decent power make him a maybe
Jose Lugo – Left-handed, big K/9 and good K/BB numbers, minimal time above AA drop him to maybe
Brock Peterson – Very nice 2009, but how much upside does he have?
Steven Singleton – Decent prospect, but just 158 AA at-bats probably not enough to justify selection
Kyle Waldrop – Very nice 2009, but never pitched above AA and lacks K numbers – want to see more
Santos Arias – Solid numbers in 2009, but never pitched higher than Ft. Myers
Allan De San Miguel – Very poor offensively, but ’08 invite to Spring Training for defense
Cole DeVries – ERA/WHIP too high and K/9 not high enough to justify selection
Jair Fernandez – Another poor hitting catcher, never played above High A
Jason Jones – Selected by Twins in 2008, but poor 2009 was a step backwards
Tim Lahey – Back to back troubled seasons in AAA make selection unlikely
Rene Leveret – Solid ’08 & ’09, but never played above High A
Matt Macri – Horrid 2009 significantly dropped his stock
Winston Marquez – Injuries an issue, but left-handed & big K numbers – just 19 IP at low A, though
Dustin Martin – Poor 2009 (.254/670) in AAA with no power makes selection unlikely
Frank Mata – Good ERA & WHIP, but no significant K numbers to justify selection
Juan Portes – Solid 2009, but never played above AA
Brandon Roberts – Like Portes, a decent 2009, but lacks the upside to justify selection
Whit Robbins – OK numbers in AA (.278/753) not enough to justify selection
Ramon Santana – Just 15 AB’s above Low A
Matthew Williams – Too little time above Low A, although solid 2009 numbers
No Way, Jose
Paul Kelly – Just too many injuries to justify being taken at this point
Drew Thompson – Never played above Low A, significant injury history